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Thursday 1 March 2018, 20:30 Benito Villamarín Full time
40% 23% 37%
Home win
40.0%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
37.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 40.0% 2.50
Draw 22.6% 4.43
Real Sociedad 37.4% 2.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.1% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.9% 34.03
Over 1.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 1.5 11.0% 9.11
Over 2.5 71.7% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.3% 3.54
Over 3.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 3.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 4.5 31.6% 3.17
Under 4.5 68.4% 1.46

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 71.7% 1.39
No 28.3% 3.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 62.6% 1.60
Real Betis / Real Sociedad 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Real Sociedad 60.0% 1.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.9
3.9
4.1
2.5
1.1
0.4
1
4.1
8.9
7.7
4.7
2.1
0.8
2
4.4
7.9
7.2
4.4
2.0
0.7
3
2.7
5.0
4.6
2.8
1.3
0.5
4
1.3
2.4
2.2
1.3
0.6
0.2
5
0.5
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.