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Saturday 19 May 2018, 19:30 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
48% 27% 25%
Home win
48.0%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
24.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 48.0% 2.08
Draw 27.2% 3.67
Alaves 24.8% 4.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.64
Over 1.5 72.9% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.1% 3.69
Over 2.5 46.7% 2.14
Under 2.5 53.3% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.2% 3.97
Under 3.5 74.8% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.5% 8.71
Under 4.5 88.5% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.8% 1.97
No 49.2% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 75.2% 1.33
Sevilla / Alaves 72.8% 1.37
Draw / Alaves 52.0% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
7.3
4.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
1
11.2
13.0
6.3
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
9.1
9.3
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
4.6
4.7
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.7
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Alaves goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.