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Saturday 12 May 2018, 19:30 Benito Villamarín Full time
2–2
HT 1–0
43% 25% 32%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
32.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 42.6% 2.35
Draw 24.9% 4.01
Sevilla 32.4% 3.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.49
Over 1.5 82.2% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.8% 5.63
Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.6% 2.66
Under 3.5 62.4% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.94
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.5% 1.60
No 37.5% 2.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 67.6% 1.48
Real Betis / Sevilla 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Sevilla 57.4% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
5.8
4.6
2.2
0.8
0.2
1
6.8
11.4
7.7
3.7
1.3
0.4
2
6.3
9.0
6.4
3.1
1.1
0.3
3
3.5
5.0
3.6
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.5
2.1
1.5
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.