Saturday 22 September 2018, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
72%
18%
11%
Home win
71.6%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
10.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 10.6% | 9.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 22.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.5% | 6.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Espanyol | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
8.4
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.5
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
7.5
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
4.5
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Espanyol
0-2
Real Madrid
Sep 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Espanyol
Feb 2025
Espanyol
1-0
Real Madrid
Sep 2024
Real Madrid
4-1
Espanyol
Mar 2023
Real Madrid
3-1
Espanyol
Aug 2022
Espanyol
1-3
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.