Saturday 15 September 2018, 21:45
San Mamés
Full time
22%
23%
56%
Home win
21.5%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
55.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.4% | 6.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Real Madrid | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
7.6
|
8.2
|
5.5
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
10.3
|
9.8
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
2.9
|
5.8
|
5.8
|
3.9
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
2.3
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Real Madrid
4-2
Athletic Club
Dec 2025
Athletic Club
0-3
Real Madrid
Apr 2025
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Club
Dec 2024
Athletic Club
2-1
Real Madrid
Mar 2024
Real Madrid
2-0
Athletic Club
Aug 2023
Athletic Club
0-2
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.