Saturday 19 May 2018, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
30%
24%
46%
Home win
30.3%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
45.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.2% | 6.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| No | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Real Madrid | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
6.1
|
6.2
|
3.8
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
10.5
|
9.1
|
5.6
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
7.2
|
6.7
|
4.1
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
3.5
|
3.3
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Villarreal
0-2
Real Madrid
Oct 2025
Real Madrid
3-1
Villarreal
Mar 2025
Villarreal
1-2
Real Madrid
Oct 2024
Real Madrid
2-0
Villarreal
May 2024
Villarreal
4-4
Real Madrid
Dec 2023
Real Madrid
4-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.