Sunday 26 August 2018, 23:15
Estadi Montilivi
Full time
20%
20%
60%
Home win
19.7%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
60.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 19.7% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.8% | 5.04 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 34.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.0% | 9.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona / Draw | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Girona / Real Madrid | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
5.3
|
6.9
|
5.5
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
| 1 |
2.8
|
8.2
|
9.2
|
7.3
|
4.4
|
2.1
|
| 2 |
2.1
|
5.1
|
6.1
|
4.9
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
2.3
|
2.7
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Real Madrid
1-1
Girona
Nov 2025
Girona
1-1
Real Madrid
Feb 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Girona
Dec 2024
Girona
0-3
Real Madrid
Feb 2024
Real Madrid
4-0
Girona
Sep 2023
Girona
0-3
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.