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Friday 19 May 2017, 21:45 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
21% 27% 52%
Home win
20.5%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
52.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 20.5% 4.87
Draw 27.1% 3.69
Espanyol 52.3% 1.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.33
Over 1.5 70.2% 1.43
Under 1.5 29.8% 3.35
Over 2.5 43.4% 2.31
Under 2.5 56.6% 1.77
Over 3.5 22.4% 4.46
Under 3.5 77.6% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.8% 10.25
Under 4.5 90.2% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.4% 2.15
No 53.6% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 47.7% 2.10
Granada CF / Espanyol 72.9% 1.37
Draw / Espanyol 79.5% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
13.1
10.6
5.5
2.1
0.6
1
7.1
12.8
9.3
4.8
1.8
0.6
2
3.4
5.2
4.0
2.1
0.8
0.2
3
1.0
1.5
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.