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Saturday 14 October 2017, 17:15 Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
31% 26% 44%
Home win
30.6%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
43.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe 30.6% 3.27
Draw 25.5% 3.91
Real Madrid 43.9% 2.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 17.04
Over 1.5 80.1% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.9% 5.03
Over 2.5 56.7% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.3% 2.31
Over 3.5 34.3% 2.91
Under 3.5 65.7% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.8% 5.63
Under 4.5 82.2% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.8% 1.67
No 40.2% 2.49

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe / Draw 56.1% 1.78
Getafe / Real Madrid 74.5% 1.34
Draw / Real Madrid 69.4% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
7.8
6.9
3.7
1.5
0.5
1
6.2
11.9
9.2
5.0
2.0
0.7
2
4.6
7.5
6.1
3.3
1.3
0.4
3
2.0
3.3
2.7
1.5
0.6
0.2
4
0.7
1.1
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Getafe goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.