Sunday 7 January 2018, 19:30
San Mamés
Full time
50%
30%
20%
Home win
50.0%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
19.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Alaves | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.2% | 7.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.4% | 6.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.3% | 18.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.5% | 2.66 | — | — |
| No | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Alaves | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.2
|
8.8
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.8
|
13.1
|
4.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
8.0
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Alaves
2-4
Athletic Club
Sep 2025
Athletic Club
0-1
Alaves
May 2025
Athletic Club
1-0
Alaves
Dec 2024
Alaves
1-1
Athletic Club
Mar 2024
Athletic Club
2-0
Alaves
Sep 2023
Alaves
0-2
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.