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Sunday 15 April 2018, 17:15 Estadio Wanda Metropolitano Full time
75% 19% 6%
Home win
75.3%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
5.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atletico Madrid 75.3% 1.33
Draw 19.0% 5.28
Levante 5.7% 17.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.09
Over 1.5 68.6% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.4% 3.19
Over 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.2% 4.72
Under 3.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.07
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 27.7% 3.60
No 72.3% 1.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atletico Madrid / Draw 94.3% 1.06
Atletico Madrid / Levante 81.0% 1.23
Draw / Levante 24.7% 4.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
18.3
7.6
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
18.5
7.1
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
12.2
4.6
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
6.0
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atletico Madrid goals. Columns: Levante goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.