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Monday 23 April 2018, 22:00 San Mamés Full time
56% 28% 16%
Home win
55.9%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
16.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 55.9% 1.79
Draw 27.7% 3.61
Levante 16.4% 6.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.9% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.1% 8.27
Over 1.5 64.5% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.5% 2.82
Over 2.5 37.0% 2.70
Under 2.5 63.0% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.5% 5.71
Under 3.5 82.5% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.39
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.0% 2.56
No 61.0% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 83.6% 1.20
Athletic Club / Levante 72.3% 1.38
Draw / Levante 44.1% 2.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.1
7.1
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
16.3
12.3
4.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.6
8.6
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
6.3
4.3
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Levante goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.