Saturday 22 April 2017, 17:15
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
65%
25%
10%
Home win
65.1%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
10.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Leganes | 10.1% | 9.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.4% | 6.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.4% | 15.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| No | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Leganes | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
5.3
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
19.1
|
10.1
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.0
|
7.8
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Villarreal
3-0
Leganes
Dec 2024
Leganes
2-5
Villarreal
Mar 2020
Villarreal
1-2
Leganes
Sep 2019
Leganes
0-3
Villarreal
Apr 2019
Villarreal
2-1
Leganes
Sep 2018
Leganes
0-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.