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Saturday 23 September 2017, 21:45 Estadi Montilivi Full time
0–3
HT 0–1
12% 20% 68%
Home win
12.4%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
67.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona 12.4% 8.10
Draw 20.1% 4.99
Barcelona 67.6% 1.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.55
Over 1.5 80.1% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.9% 5.02
Over 2.5 56.9% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.1% 2.32
Over 3.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 3.5 65.5% 1.53
Over 4.5 17.9% 5.59
Under 4.5 82.1% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona / Draw 32.4% 3.09
Girona / Barcelona 79.9% 1.25
Draw / Barcelona 87.6% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
10.6
11.9
8.6
4.6
2.0
1
3.7
9.6
9.7
7.0
3.7
1.6
2
1.7
3.7
3.9
2.8
1.5
0.7
3
0.5
1.0
1.1
0.8
0.4
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Girona goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.