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Sunday 17 September 2017, 17:15 Estadi Montilivi Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
33% 27% 40%
Home win
33.5%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
39.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona 33.5% 2.99
Draw 26.6% 3.75
Sevilla 39.9% 2.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.73
Over 1.5 77.6% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.4% 4.47
Over 2.5 53.1% 1.88
Under 2.5 46.9% 2.13
Over 3.5 30.8% 3.24
Under 3.5 69.2% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.2% 6.56
Under 4.5 84.8% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.4% 1.74
No 42.6% 2.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona / Draw 60.1% 1.66
Girona / Sevilla 73.4% 1.36
Draw / Sevilla 66.5% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
8.2
6.6
3.2
1.2
0.3
1
7.4
12.6
8.7
4.3
1.6
0.5
2
5.4
7.9
5.8
2.8
1.0
0.3
3
2.4
3.5
2.6
1.3
0.5
0.1
4
0.8
1.2
0.9
0.4
0.2
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Girona goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.