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Saturday 20 May 2017, 22:00 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
5–0
HT 3–0
79% 13% 8%
Home win
79.0%
Draw
13.1%
Away win
7.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 79.0% 1.27
Draw 13.1% 7.66
Osasuna 7.9% 12.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.8% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.2% 45.54
Over 1.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.0% 11.09
Over 2.5 75.8% 1.32
Under 2.5 24.2% 4.14
Over 3.5 56.2% 1.78
Under 3.5 43.8% 2.28
Over 4.5 36.6% 2.73
Under 4.5 63.4% 1.58

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.1% 1.72
No 41.9% 2.39

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 92.1% 1.09
Sevilla / Osasuna 86.9% 1.15
Draw / Osasuna 21.0% 4.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.2
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
5.4
5.6
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
8.7
8.1
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
8.8
8.2
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
6.7
6.3
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
5
4.1
3.8
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Osasuna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.