Sunday 1 October 2017, 17:15
Camp Nou
Full time
92%
6%
2%
Home win
91.9%
Draw
5.6%
Away win
2.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 5.6% | 17.83 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 2.5% | 40.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.3% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.7% | 133.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.7% | 27.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 11.8% | 8.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Las Palmas | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 8.1% | 12.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
2.6
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
6.5
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.8
|
7.0
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
7.6
|
6.0
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Las Palmas
0-2
Barcelona
Nov 2024
Barcelona
1-2
Las Palmas
Mar 2024
Barcelona
1-0
Las Palmas
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
1-2
Barcelona
Mar 2018
Las Palmas
1-1
Barcelona
May 2017
Las Palmas
1-4
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.