Saturday 26 August 2017, 23:15
Gran Canaria
Full time
15%
22%
63%
Home win
15.0%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
62.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 15.0% | 6.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Atletico Madrid | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
11.0
|
11.4
|
7.6
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
10.5
|
9.9
|
6.5
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
4.3
|
4.2
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Las Palmas
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2024
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Las Palmas
Feb 2024
Atletico Madrid
5-0
Las Palmas
Nov 2023
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Jan 2018
Atletico Madrid
3-0
Las Palmas
Apr 2017
Las Palmas
0-5
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.