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Sunday 13 May 2018, 21:45 Ciutat de València Full time
5–4
HT 2–1
12% 19% 70%
Home win
11.5%
Draw
18.8%
Away win
69.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Levante 11.5% 8.66
Draw 18.8% 5.32
Barcelona 69.7% 1.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.24
Over 1.5 82.3% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.7% 5.63
Over 2.5 60.2% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.8% 2.51
Over 3.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 3.5 62.1% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.5% 4.89
Under 4.5 79.5% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.2% 1.95
No 48.8% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Levante / Draw 30.3% 3.29
Levante / Barcelona 81.2% 1.23
Draw / Barcelona 88.5% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
9.6
11.6
8.8
5.0
2.3
1
3.2
8.9
9.6
7.3
4.2
1.9
2
1.5
3.5
4.0
3.0
1.7
0.8
3
0.4
1.0
1.1
0.8
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Levante goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.