Sunday 26 August 2018, 23:15
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
41%
27%
33%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
32.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.4% | 6.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.5% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Villarreal | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
7.2
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
12.5
|
7.8
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
8.8
|
5.8
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.4
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Villarreal
2-3
Sevilla
Sep 2025
Sevilla
1-2
Villarreal
May 2025
Villarreal
4-2
Sevilla
Aug 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Villarreal
May 2024
Villarreal
3-2
Sevilla
Dec 2023
Sevilla
1-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.