Friday 31 August 2018, 23:00
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
57%
24%
19%
Home win
57.4%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
18.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Girona | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.7% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Girona | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Girona | 42.6% | 2.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
5.1
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
11.3
|
5.2
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
9.9
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
6.2
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Girona
1-0
Villarreal
Aug 2025
Villarreal
5-0
Girona
May 2025
Girona
0-1
Villarreal
Dec 2024
Villarreal
2-2
Girona
May 2024
Girona
0-1
Villarreal
Sep 2023
Villarreal
1-2
Girona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.