Sunday 20 May 2018, 19:30
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
65%
25%
11%
Home win
64.9%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
10.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Eibar | 10.5% | 9.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Eibar | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
5.3
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.3
|
10.3
|
2.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.6
|
8.1
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.6
|
4.5
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Atletico Madrid
5-0
Eibar
Jan 2021
Eibar
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Jan 2020
Eibar
2-0
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2019
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Eibar
Apr 2019
Eibar
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2018
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Eibar
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.