Monday 12 December 2016, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
33%
33%
34%
Home win
32.8%
Draw
33.1%
Away win
34.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.3% | 6.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.1% | 7.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.7% | 21.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| No | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Atletico Madrid | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.3
|
13.4
|
6.9
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
14.3
|
6.6
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
6.5
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Villarreal
5-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2025
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Villarreal
Jan 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Villarreal
Aug 2024
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico Madrid
Apr 2024
Villarreal
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2023
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.