Skip to content
Saturday 6 January 2018, 14:00 Estadio Wanda Metropolitano Full time
57% 29% 14%
Home win
56.8%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
14.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atletico Madrid 56.8% 1.76
Draw 29.1% 3.43
Getafe 14.1% 7.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.2% 6.59
Over 1.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 1.5 41.9% 2.39
Over 2.5 30.4% 3.29
Under 2.5 69.6% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.0% 7.67
Under 3.5 87.0% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.7% 21.50
Under 4.5 95.3% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.3% 3.10
No 67.7% 1.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atletico Madrid / Draw 85.9% 1.16
Atletico Madrid / Getafe 70.9% 1.41
Draw / Getafe 43.2% 2.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.2
7.3
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
19.4
11.7
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
13.8
7.6
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
6.4
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.2
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atletico Madrid goals. Columns: Getafe goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.