Saturday 13 January 2018, 19:30
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
19%
28%
53%
Home win
18.6%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
53.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.3% | 8.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 12.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| No | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Eibar / Atletico Madrid | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.3
|
15.0
|
11.6
|
5.7
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
12.7
|
8.9
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
4.6
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Atletico Madrid
5-0
Eibar
Jan 2021
Eibar
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Jan 2020
Eibar
2-0
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2019
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Eibar
Apr 2019
Eibar
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2018
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Eibar
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.