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Thursday 21 December 2017, 20:30 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
4–1
HT 2–1
42% 27% 31%
Home win
42.4%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
31.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 42.4% 2.36
Draw 26.5% 3.77
Girona 31.1% 3.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.66
Over 1.5 77.5% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.5% 4.45
Over 2.5 52.9% 1.89
Under 2.5 47.1% 2.12
Over 3.5 30.7% 3.26
Under 3.5 69.3% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.2% 6.60
Under 4.5 84.8% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.0% 1.75
No 43.0% 2.32

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 68.9% 1.45
Eibar / Girona 73.5% 1.36
Draw / Girona 57.6% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
7.1
4.9
2.1
0.7
0.2
1
8.6
12.6
7.5
3.2
1.0
0.3
2
7.1
9.0
5.7
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
3.6
4.6
2.9
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
1.4
1.7
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Girona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.