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Sunday 23 September 2018, 13:00 Ciutat de València Full time
2–6
HT 1–4
41% 26% 33%
Home win
41.1%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
32.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Levante 41.1% 2.43
Draw 26.3% 3.80
Sevilla 32.5% 3.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.35
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.62
Over 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Under 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.8% 3.14
Under 3.5 68.2% 1.47
Over 4.5 15.9% 6.27
Under 4.5 84.1% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.1% 1.72
No 41.9% 2.39

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Levante / Draw 67.5% 1.48
Levante / Sevilla 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Sevilla 58.9% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
7.0
5.1
2.3
0.8
0.2
1
8.1
12.4
7.8
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.7
8.9
5.9
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
3.4
4.5
3.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.3
1.7
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Levante goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.