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Sunday 2 September 2018, 13:00 Ciutat de València Full time
2–2
HT 2–1
36% 27% 38%
Home win
35.7%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
37.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Levante 35.7% 2.80
Draw 26.8% 3.73
Valencia 37.5% 2.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.42
Over 1.5 77.2% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.8% 4.39
Over 2.5 52.5% 1.90
Under 2.5 47.5% 2.11
Over 3.5 30.3% 3.30
Under 3.5 69.7% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.9% 6.72
Under 4.5 85.1% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.1% 1.75
No 42.9% 2.33

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Levante / Draw 62.5% 1.60
Levante / Valencia 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Valencia 64.3% 1.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
8.0
6.2
2.9
1.0
0.3
1
7.8
12.7
8.5
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
5.8
8.2
5.8
2.7
1.0
0.3
3
2.7
3.7
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
0.9
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Levante goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.