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Monday 27 August 2018, 21:15 Ciutat de València Full time
1–2
HT 0–2
48% 24% 28%
Home win
48.0%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
27.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Levante 48.0% 2.08
Draw 24.3% 4.11
Celta Vigo 27.6% 3.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.76
Over 1.5 82.4% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.6% 5.68
Over 2.5 60.2% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.8% 2.52
Over 3.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 3.5 62.1% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.5% 4.89
Under 4.5 79.5% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.8% 1.62
No 38.2% 2.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Levante / Draw 72.4% 1.38
Levante / Celta Vigo 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Celta Vigo 52.0% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
5.2
3.9
1.7
0.6
0.1
1
7.3
11.1
6.9
3.1
1.0
0.3
2
7.1
9.4
6.2
2.7
0.9
0.2
3
4.3
5.7
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
1.9
2.5
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Levante goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.