Wednesday 26 September 2018, 23:00
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
23%
21%
56%
Home win
23.3%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
56.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 23.3% | 4.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.7% | 4.84 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 35.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.6% | 9.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| No | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Real Madrid | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
4.9
|
6.2
|
4.7
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
2.9
|
8.3
|
9.0
|
6.9
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
5.7
|
6.6
|
5.0
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.8
|
3.2
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sevilla
0-1
Real Madrid
Dec 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Sevilla
May 2025
Sevilla
0-2
Real Madrid
Dec 2024
Real Madrid
4-2
Sevilla
Feb 2024
Real Madrid
1-0
Sevilla
Oct 2023
Sevilla
1-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.