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Sunday 30 October 2016, 21:45 Gran Canaria Full time
55% 21% 23%
Home win
55.3%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
23.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 55.3% 1.81
Draw 21.4% 4.67
Celta Vigo 23.3% 4.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.3% 29.93
Over 1.5 87.6% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.4% 8.06
Over 2.5 69.1% 1.45
Under 2.5 30.9% 3.24
Over 3.5 47.7% 2.09
Under 3.5 52.3% 1.91
Over 4.5 28.7% 3.49
Under 4.5 71.3% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.9% 1.49
No 33.1% 3.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 76.7% 1.30
Las Palmas / Celta Vigo 78.6% 1.27
Draw / Celta Vigo 44.7% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
3.4
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
1
5.7
9.0
5.9
2.7
0.9
0.3
2
6.8
9.3
6.4
3.0
1.0
0.3
3
4.9
6.8
4.7
2.2
0.7
0.2
4
2.7
3.7
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
5
1.2
1.6
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.