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Sunday 6 November 2016, 17:15 RCDE Stadium Full time
39% 28% 33%
Home win
38.9%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
33.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 38.9% 2.57
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Athletic Club 33.3% 3.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.38
Over 1.5 74.3% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.7% 3.89
Over 2.5 48.5% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.5% 1.94
Over 3.5 26.7% 3.75
Under 3.5 73.3% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.4% 8.03
Under 4.5 87.6% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.8% 1.86
No 46.2% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 66.7% 1.50
Espanyol / Athletic Club 72.2% 1.38
Draw / Athletic Club 61.1% 1.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
8.4
5.7
2.4
0.7
0.2
1
9.3
13.2
7.8
3.2
1.0
0.3
2
6.8
8.5
5.3
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
3.1
3.9
2.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.1
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.