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Sunday 19 February 2017, 17:15 Mestalla Full time
33% 27% 40%
Home win
33.1%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
40.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia 33.1% 3.02
Draw 26.7% 3.74
Athletic Club 40.1% 2.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.50
Over 1.5 77.3% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.7% 4.41
Over 2.5 52.7% 1.90
Under 2.5 47.3% 2.11
Over 3.5 30.4% 3.28
Under 3.5 69.6% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.0% 6.67
Under 4.5 85.0% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.0% 1.75
No 43.0% 2.33

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia / Draw 59.9% 1.67
Valencia / Athletic Club 73.3% 1.36
Draw / Athletic Club 66.9% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
8.4
6.7
3.3
1.2
0.4
1
7.4
12.7
8.8
4.3
1.6
0.5
2
5.3
7.8
5.8
2.8
1.0
0.3
3
2.3
3.4
2.5
1.2
0.5
0.1
4
0.8
1.1
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Valencia goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.