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Sunday 21 October 2018, 17:15 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
43% 29% 28%
Home win
43.2%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
28.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 43.2% 2.32
Draw 28.8% 3.47
Athletic Club 28.0% 3.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.14
Over 1.5 69.9% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.1% 3.32
Over 2.5 43.0% 2.33
Under 2.5 57.0% 1.75
Over 3.5 22.1% 4.53
Under 3.5 77.9% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.6% 10.46
Under 4.5 90.4% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.8% 2.05
No 51.2% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 72.0% 1.39
Eibar / Athletic Club 71.2% 1.40
Draw / Athletic Club 56.8% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
8.7
4.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
11.6
13.6
6.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.4
8.7
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
3.8
3.9
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.