Saturday 29 September 2018, 17:15
Camp Nou
Full time
79%
14%
7%
Home win
78.9%
Draw
13.8%
Away win
7.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.8% | 7.25 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 7.2% | 13.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.4% | 8.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Athletic Club | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
6.4
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
8.5
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.3
|
7.9
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.2
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Athletic Club
0-1
Barcelona
Nov 2025
Barcelona
4-0
Athletic Club
May 2025
Athletic Club
0-3
Barcelona
Aug 2024
Barcelona
2-1
Athletic Club
Mar 2024
Athletic Club
0-0
Barcelona
Oct 2023
Barcelona
1-0
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.