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Saturday 15 September 2018, 17:15 Anoeta Full time
Real Sociedad
1–2
HT 1–0
Barcelona
19% 19% 62%
Home win
18.5%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
62.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 18.5% 5.40 — —
Draw 19.2% 5.22 — —
Barcelona 62.3% 1.60 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.3% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 2.7% 37.01 — —
Over 1.5 89.6% 1.12 — —
Under 1.5 10.4% 9.63 — —
Over 2.5 72.9% 1.37 — —
Under 2.5 27.1% 3.70 — —
Over 3.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Under 3.5 47.6% 2.10 — —
Over 4.5 33.0% 3.03 — —
Under 4.5 67.0% 1.49 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.5% 1.48 — —
No 32.5% 3.07 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 37.7% 2.65 — —
Real Sociedad / Barcelona 80.8% 1.24 — —
Draw / Barcelona 81.5% 1.23 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.7
5.1
6.9
5.7
3.5
1.7
1
2.5
7.8
9.1
7.5
4.6
2.3
2
2.0
4.8
6.0
4.9
3.1
1.5
3
0.9
2.1
2.6
2.2
1.3
0.7
4
0.3
0.7
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Real Sociedad
W L W D L
Barcelona
L W W W W

Head to head

Jan 2026 Real Sociedad 2-1 Barcelona Sep 2025 Barcelona 2-1 Real Sociedad Mar 2025 Barcelona 4-0 Real Sociedad Nov 2024 Real Sociedad 1-0 Barcelona May 2024 Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad Nov 2023 Real Sociedad 0-1 Barcelona

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.