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Saturday 25 August 2018, 23:15 José Zorrilla Full time
15% 23% 63%
Home win
14.8%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
62.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valladolid 14.8% 6.74
Draw 22.6% 4.43
Barcelona 62.6% 1.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.07
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.38
Over 1.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.2% 4.30
Over 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Under 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Over 3.5 29.9% 3.35
Under 3.5 70.1% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.6% 6.86
Under 4.5 85.4% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.8% 2.05
No 51.2% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valladolid / Draw 37.4% 2.67
Valladolid / Barcelona 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Barcelona 85.2% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
11.6
11.8
7.6
3.7
1.4
1
4.7
10.8
9.8
6.3
3.0
1.2
2
2.2
4.2
4.1
2.6
1.3
0.5
3
0.6
1.2
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Valladolid goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.