Sunday 23 September 2018, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
84%
10%
5%
Home win
84.1%
Draw
10.4%
Away win
5.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.4% | 9.57 | — | — |
| Girona | 5.4% | 18.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.8% | 54.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.2% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.8% | 12.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.6% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Girona | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Girona | 15.9% | 6.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
7.2
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.7
|
8.0
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.0
|
6.6
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.4
|
4.4
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Girona
2-1
Barcelona
Oct 2025
Barcelona
2-1
Girona
Mar 2025
Barcelona
4-1
Girona
Sep 2024
Girona
1-4
Barcelona
May 2024
Girona
4-2
Barcelona
Dec 2023
Barcelona
2-4
Girona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.