Monday 17 September 2018, 22:00
Estadi Montilivi
Full time
45%
24%
30%
Home win
45.4%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
30.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.4% | 6.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona / Draw | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Girona / Celta Vigo | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
5.2
|
4.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
10.9
|
7.3
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
9.2
|
6.5
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
5.4
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.4
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Girona
1-2
Celta Vigo
Sep 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Girona
Mar 2025
Girona
2-2
Celta Vigo
Sep 2024
Celta Vigo
1-1
Girona
Jan 2024
Celta Vigo
0-1
Girona
Oct 2023
Girona
1-0
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.