Friday 5 October 2018, 22:00
San Mamés
Full time
41%
27%
32%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
32.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Real Sociedad | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
7.6
|
5.3
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
12.8
|
7.7
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.8
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
4.3
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Athletic Club
1-1
Real Sociedad
Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
3-2
Athletic Club
May 2025
Real Sociedad
0-0
Athletic Club
Nov 2024
Athletic Club
1-0
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Athletic Club
2-1
Real Sociedad
Sep 2023
Real Sociedad
3-0
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.