Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Tuesday 25 September 2018, 22:00 Anoeta Full time
Real Sociedad
2–2
HT 1–2
Rayo Vallecano
74% 16% 10%
Home win
74.4%
Draw
15.5%
Away win
10.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 74.4% 1.34 — —
Draw 15.5% 6.44 — —
Rayo Vallecano 10.1% 9.93 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.1% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 2.9% 33.94 — —
Over 1.5 88.5% 1.13 — —
Under 1.5 11.5% 8.68 — —
Over 2.5 70.9% 1.41 — —
Under 2.5 29.1% 3.44 — —
Over 3.5 49.9% 2.00 — —
Under 3.5 50.1% 2.00 — —
Over 4.5 30.7% 3.26 — —
Under 4.5 69.3% 1.44 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.5% 1.74 — —
No 42.5% 2.35 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 89.9% 1.11 — —
Real Sociedad / Rayo Vallecano 84.5% 1.18 — —
Draw / Rayo Vallecano 25.6% 3.91 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.9
2.0
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
6.6
7.0
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
9.5
8.9
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
8.6
8.1
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
5.9
5.5
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
3.2
3.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Rayo Vallecano goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Real Sociedad
W D L L W
Rayo Vallecano
L L W L

Head to head

Apr 2026 Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Sociedad Oct 2025 Real Sociedad 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Mar 2025 Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Sociedad Aug 2024 Real Sociedad 1-2 Rayo Vallecano Jan 2024 Real Sociedad 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Oct 2023 Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Sociedad

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.