Friday 14 September 2018, 22:00
El Alcoraz
Full time
69%
18%
13%
Home win
68.9%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
12.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano | 12.9% | 7.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.1% | 7.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca / Draw | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Huesca / Rayo Vallecano | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Rayo Vallecano | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
8.3
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
9.6
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.9
|
7.7
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.8
|
4.7
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.