Skip to content
Friday 21 September 2018, 22:00 El Alcoraz Full time
36% 22% 42%
Home win
36.0%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
42.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Huesca 36.0% 2.78
Draw 21.7% 4.61
Real Sociedad 42.3% 2.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.4% 41.82
Over 1.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.1% 10.95
Over 2.5 75.3% 1.33
Under 2.5 24.7% 4.05
Over 3.5 55.5% 1.80
Under 3.5 44.5% 2.25
Over 4.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 4.5 64.0% 1.56

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 74.4% 1.34
No 25.6% 3.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Huesca / Draw 57.7% 1.73
Huesca / Real Sociedad 78.3% 1.28
Draw / Real Sociedad 64.0% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.4
3.5
4.1
2.8
1.4
0.6
1
3.2
8.0
7.7
5.3
2.7
1.1
2
3.5
7.1
7.3
5.0
2.6
1.1
3
2.2
4.5
4.6
3.1
1.6
0.7
4
1.0
2.1
2.2
1.5
0.8
0.3
5
0.4
0.8
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
Rows: Huesca goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.