Saturday 29 September 2018, 14:00
Anoeta
Full time
43%
26%
32%
Home win
42.8%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
31.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Valencia | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.5% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| No | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Valencia | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
6.2
|
4.7
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
11.8
|
7.6
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
9.0
|
6.2
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.9
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
2.0
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Real Sociedad
3-4
Valencia
Aug 2025
Valencia
1-1
Real Sociedad
Jan 2025
Valencia
1-0
Real Sociedad
Sep 2024
Real Sociedad
3-0
Valencia
May 2024
Real Sociedad
1-0
Valencia
Sep 2023
Valencia
0-1
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.