Wednesday 26 September 2018, 23:00
Mestalla
Full time
56%
22%
22%
Home win
55.7%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
21.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.7% | 6.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Valencia / Celta Vigo | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
4.1
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
10.1
|
5.8
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
9.7
|
6.0
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
6.6
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
3.4
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Valencia
2-3
Celta Vigo
Jan 2026
Celta Vigo
4-1
Valencia
Feb 2025
Valencia
2-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
3-1
Valencia
May 2024
Celta Vigo
2-2
Valencia
Nov 2023
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.