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Saturday 22 September 2018, 17:15 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
Celta Vigo
3–3
HT 2–1
Valladolid
48% 32% 20%
Home win
47.9%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
19.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 47.9% 2.09 — —
Draw 32.3% 3.09 — —
Valladolid 19.8% 5.05 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.4% 1.20 — —
Under 0.5 16.6% 6.02 — —
Over 1.5 55.6% 1.80 — —
Under 1.5 44.4% 2.25 — —
Over 2.5 28.0% 3.57 — —
Under 2.5 72.0% 1.39 — —
Over 3.5 11.5% 8.68 — —
Under 3.5 88.5% 1.13 — —
Over 4.5 3.9% 25.39 — —
Under 4.5 96.1% 1.04 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.2% 2.93 — —
No 65.8% 1.52 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 80.2% 1.25 — —
Celta Vigo / Valladolid 67.7% 1.48 — —
Draw / Valladolid 52.1% 1.92 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.6
9.7
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
18.0
13.1
4.1
0.9
0.1
0.0
2
11.1
7.3
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
4.4
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Valladolid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Celta Vigo
W D W W L
Valladolid
D L D L

Head to head

Mar 2025 Valladolid 0-1 Celta Vigo Sep 2024 Celta Vigo 3-1 Valladolid Feb 2023 Celta Vigo 3-0 Valladolid Oct 2022 Valladolid 4-1 Celta Vigo Feb 2021 Celta Vigo 1-1 Valladolid Sep 2020 Valladolid 1-1 Celta Vigo

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.