Sunday 16 September 2018, 19:30
José Zorrilla
Full time
33%
40%
27%
Home win
33.3%
Draw
39.8%
Away win
26.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Alaves | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 25.6% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 16.4% | 6.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 5.3% | 18.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 1.4% | 72.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| No | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid / Draw | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Valladolid / Alaves | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
25.6
|
15.3
|
5.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.9
|
12.7
|
3.8
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Valladolid
0-1
Alaves
Oct 2024
Alaves
2-3
Valladolid
Feb 2021
Alaves
1-0
Valladolid
Oct 2020
Valladolid
0-2
Alaves
Jul 2020
Valladolid
1-0
Alaves
Nov 2019
Alaves
3-0
Valladolid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.