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Sunday 25 February 2018, 13:00 Estadio de la Cerámica Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
40% 33% 27%
Home win
39.8%
Draw
32.9%
Away win
27.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal 39.8% 2.51
Draw 32.9% 3.04
Getafe 27.2% 3.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.5% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.5% 6.44
Over 1.5 57.9% 1.73
Under 1.5 42.1% 2.37
Over 2.5 30.1% 3.33
Under 2.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 3.5 12.8% 7.81
Under 3.5 87.2% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.5% 22.04
Under 4.5 95.5% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.2% 2.62
No 61.8% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal / Draw 72.8% 1.37
Villarreal / Getafe 67.1% 1.49
Draw / Getafe 60.2% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.5
11.6
5.2
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
15.0
14.1
5.6
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
8.5
7.2
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
3.1
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Villarreal goals. Columns: Getafe goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.