Saturday 6 October 2018, 21:45
Municipal de Butarque
Full time
48%
26%
26%
Home win
47.8%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
25.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.9% | 7.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes / Draw | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Leganes / Rayo Vallecano | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Rayo Vallecano | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
6.7
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
12.5
|
6.6
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.4
|
5.3
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Leganes
0-1
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 2024
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Leganes
Feb 2019
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Leganes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.