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Friday 28 September 2018, 22:00 Estadio de Vallecas Full time
Rayo Vallecano
2–2
HT 1–2
Espanyol
28% 29% 43%
Home win
27.8%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
43.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rayo Vallecano 27.8% 3.60 — —
Draw 28.9% 3.46 — —
Espanyol 43.3% 2.31 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11 — —
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.92 — —
Over 1.5 69.4% 1.44 — —
Under 1.5 30.6% 3.27 — —
Over 2.5 42.4% 2.36 — —
Under 2.5 57.6% 1.74 — —
Over 3.5 21.6% 4.63 — —
Under 3.5 78.4% 1.28 — —
Over 4.5 9.3% 10.78 — —
Under 4.5 90.7% 1.10 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.3% 2.07 — —
No 51.7% 1.93 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rayo Vallecano / Draw 56.7% 1.76 — —
Rayo Vallecano / Espanyol 71.1% 1.41 — —
Draw / Espanyol 72.2% 1.38 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
11.8
8.4
3.8
1.3
0.3
1
8.8
13.7
8.7
3.9
1.3
0.4
2
4.9
6.6
4.5
2.0
0.7
0.2
3
1.7
2.3
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Rayo Vallecano goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Rayo Vallecano
L L W L D
Espanyol
W L W L W

Head to head

Apr 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Espanyol Dec 2025 Espanyol 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Apr 2025 Rayo Vallecano 0-4 Espanyol Aug 2024 Espanyol 2-1 Rayo Vallecano May 2023 Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Espanyol Aug 2022 Espanyol 0-2 Rayo Vallecano

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.